The Cannabis industry is on the cusp of a monumental shift that's about to rock the accounting and tax world. As a CPA with nearly a decade of experience in this niche, I've watched this industry explode from the ground up. We've gone from zero to a $33 billion legal market in 2023, with support for legalization at an all-time high. But hold onto your calculators, folks – what's coming next is going to make the past few years look like a warm-up lap.
In April 2024, the DEA dropped a bombshell: they're considering rescheduling Cannabis from Schedule I to Schedule III. This isn't just another regulatory tweak; it's a seismic shift that could unleash a tidal wave of growth, investment, and opportunity. But it also means a whole new ballgame for accounting and tax in the Cannabis world.
In this guide, we will provide an overview of how Cannabis rescheduling will impact accounting and tax, including:
If you're an accountant, investor, or Cannabis business owner, you need to be ready for what's coming. In this guide, I'm going to break down exactly how this rescheduling could shake up the industry, what it means for your bottom line, and how you can position yourself to ride this green wave to success. Let's dive in.
One of the first questions we always get is, “how likely is Cannabis rescheduling or legalization?” People worry there is still a social stigma attached to marijuana and that it will impact not only the potential for rescheduling and legalization but also their potential for success in the Cannabis industry.
According to an article published by Bloomberg, attitudes on Cannabis have shifted significantly in the last 50-60 years. Nearly 70% of all American adults now support full legalization. That is up from around 10% in 1969.
(Source: Gallup)
There is also bipartisan support for Cannabis legalization. Both red states and blue states support Cannabis legalization. For example, Cannabis is fully legal in Oklahoma, a traditionally red state, and Oregon, a historically blue state.
You can poll any group you want - Republicans, Democrats, Independents - and you’ll find that a majority of adults support legalization. We have many examples of this across the United States. 24 out of 50 states now have full Cannabis legalization; we’ve seen that go from 0 to 24 in 10 years, and we expect that number to rise as we get closer to the 2024 election.
All of that is to say, the industry and attitudes are changing. It will most likely begin with the DEA approving the rescheduling of Cannabis.
Let’s look at what that means.
The Controlled Substances Act established a federal drug policy that regulates the manufacture, importation, possession, use, and distribution of certain substances. The legislation created five schedules, or classifications, along with qualifications for a substance to be included in each.
We’ll focus on Schedule 1, where Cannabis is currently scheduled, and Schedule III, the new proposed schedule for Cannabis.
Schedule I is the highest and harshest schedule for a substance under the act. For a substance to be classified as Schedule I, it is said to have no medical use and high potential for both abuse and addiction. Other examples of substances classified as Schedule I include ecstasy, methamphetamine, heroin, and LSD.
Something to note is that even drugs like fentanyl and oxycodone, which are responsible for tens of thousands of deaths annually, currently fall under Schedule II.
Schedule III, the new proposed classification for Cannabis, is much milder. The substances in this classification have medical uses and while they still possess the potential for abuse and addiction, the risk is much lower. Other examples of substances in this classification include Tylenol, codeine, testosterone, and ketamine. Some of these are available over the counter while others are regularly prescribed by doctors.
The DEA has recommended that Cannabis be moved from Schedule I to Schedule III. The reclassification would lead to a cascade of state and federal-level changes, and will completely change the market.
In October 2022, the Biden Administration launched an investigation into Cannabis being on Schedule I. The Health and Human Services (HHS) department recommended Cannabis be moved to Schedule III, and the FDA agreed. Now rescheduling is awaiting approval from the DEA. We’re cautiously optimistic as the DEA typically follows the recommendations from the HHS department. For now, things are looking green for the prospect of rescheduling at the very least.
The Biden Administration is doing everything it can to gather votes and many industry experts, including us here at DOPE CFO, believe rescheduling will happen sooner rather than later.
Let’s look at the benefits of rescheduling as well as some of the potential challenges that could arise.
There are benefits and challenges that will come from rescheduling, We’ll start with the benefits.
The current banking situation for Cannabis businesses is, to put it mildly, challenging. Due to federal prohibition, most traditional banks have shied away from serving Cannabis clients, fearing potential legal repercussions. This has created a host of issues that have hampered the industry's growth and operational efficiency.
Currently, many Cannabis businesses operate primarily in cash, which presents significant security risks and operational headaches. Imagine trying to manage payroll, pay taxes, or handle large transactions entirely in cash. It's not just inconvenient; it's dangerous and inefficient.
Some Cannabis businesses have managed to secure limited banking services through state-chartered banks or credit unions willing to take on the risk and compliance burden. However, these services often come with hefty fees and restrictions, making them less than ideal for growing businesses.
The lack of banking access has broader implications beyond day-to-day operations. Without bank accounts, Cannabis businesses struggle to build credit histories, making it nearly impossible to secure loans or lines of credit for expansion. This has forced many to rely on private investors or alternative funding sources, often at much higher interest rates than traditional business loans.
Rescheduling Cannabis to Schedule III would fundamentally alter this landscape. While it wouldn't automatically solve all banking issues overnight, it would significantly reduce the perceived risk for financial institutions. Here's what we might expect:
However, it's important to note that challenges will remain. Banks will still need to comply with anti-money laundering laws and know-your-customer regulations. Cannabis businesses will need to maintain meticulous records and demonstrate full regulatory compliance to maintain their banking relationships.
As accountants and financial professionals, our role in this new banking landscape will be critical. We'll need to help our clients navigate the transition from cash-based operations to full banking integration, ensuring they have the systems and controls in place to meet banks' requirements. Additionally, we'll play a key role in helping Cannabis businesses leverage their new banking relationships to fuel growth and improve operational efficiency.
The shift in banking access represents a monumental change for the Cannabis industry. It's not just about having a place to deposit cash; it's about gaining access to the full spectrum of financial tools that can help these businesses scale, innovate, and compete in an increasingly sophisticated market.
Currently, Cannabis businesses operate in a precarious financial environment due to their inability to access bankruptcy protection. This is a direct result of Cannabis being classified as a Schedule I substance at the federal level. Let me illustrate why this is so significant.
I've seen this impact firsthand. One of the first Cannabis farms I worked with went under, and the consequences were dire. Without the option of bankruptcy protection, there was no structured way to manage the business's decline. The result? A sudden closure that left many people jobless overnight. It's a scenario that plays out all too often in our industry, and it's one of the hidden risks that many don't consider when entering the Cannabis market.
Rescheduling Cannabis to Schedule III could change this landscape dramatically. Here's what it might mean:
It's important to note that while bankruptcy protection can be a lifeline, it's not a get-out-of-jail-free card. Businesses will still need to operate responsibly and maintain strong financial controls. As accountants and financial advisors, our role will be to help Cannabis businesses stay financially healthy and to guide them through the bankruptcy process if it becomes necessary.
The introduction of bankruptcy protection to the Cannabis industry represents more than just a financial tool – it's a step towards normalizing Cannabis businesses in the eyes of the law and the financial sector. It's another piece of the puzzle in creating a stable, sustainable Cannabis industry that can weather economic ups and downs like any other sector.
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One of the most significant changes that rescheduling could bring to the Cannabis industry is the possibility of interstate commerce. This shift has the potential to completely reshape the market landscape. Let me break down what this could mean for the industry.
Right now, we essentially have 44 different state markets with varying pricing structures for similar products. It's a fragmented system that leads to inefficiencies and missed opportunities.
For example, if you create an exceptional THC-infused kombucha in Oregon, you're limited to selling it within state lines. You can't ship it to Illinois, Oklahoma, or any other state, regardless of demand. This restriction limits growth potential and forces businesses to duplicate efforts across multiple states.
Imagine a scenario where you could produce Cannabis products in one state and sell them across the entire country. This would allow businesses to:
For instance, a California edibles manufacturer could suddenly access markets in Florida, New York, and everywhere in between. This opens up enormous growth potential for businesses that are currently constrained by state boundaries.
However, it's not going to be a simple free-for-all. We need to be prepared for some pushback and complications:
We might see a system develop similar to what we have with alcohol distribution. After Prohibition, many states implemented a three-tier system for alcohol sales, and we could see something similar emerge for Cannabis. This could involve separate licenses for producers, distributors, and retailers, with specific rules governing how products move between these tiers across state lines.
For Cannabis businesses, this shift will require:
As accountants and financial advisors, we'll need to help our clients:
The move to interstate commerce represents both a massive opportunity and a significant challenge for the Cannabis industry. It has the potential to create national brands, drive down costs for consumers, and fuel rapid industry growth. However, it will also increase complexity and competition. Businesses that are prepared for this shift – with robust financial systems, clear strategies, and expert advice – will be best positioned to thrive in this new landscape.
Rescheduling Cannabis to Schedule III has the potential to dramatically accelerate research and development in the industry. This shift could unlock a new era of innovation, bringing together the worlds of Cannabis, pharmaceuticals, and biotechnology.
Big pharma's entry into Cannabis
One of the most significant changes we're likely to see is the entry of major pharmaceutical companies into the Cannabis space. These companies have been watching from the sidelines, hesitant to engage with a Schedule I substance. With rescheduling, we can expect them to dive in headfirst, bringing with them:
This influx of resources and expertise could lead to a boom in new Cannabis-based medicines and products:
Standardization and Quality Control Increased R&D is likely to lead to more standardized products:
This R&D boom will have far-reaching effects:
However, this shift also brings challenges:
For those of us working in Cannabis finance and accounting, this R&D boom means:
The potential for R&D in a post-rescheduling Cannabis industry is enormous. It promises to transform not just the products available, but the entire landscape of the industry. As financial professionals, we need to be prepared to guide our clients through this new terrain, helping them capitalize on opportunities while navigating the complexities that come with increased research and development.
Rescheduling Cannabis to Schedule III will significantly alter the regulatory landscape, but it won't simplify it entirely. In fact, we're likely to see a more complex, multi-layered regulatory environment emerge.
Here's what we can expect:
Despite federal rescheduling, states will retain a significant role in Cannabis regulation:
This means Cannabis businesses will still need to navigate a patchwork of state regulations, especially if operating across multiple jurisdictions.
Rescheduling will bring increased federal involvement, primarily through agencies like the FDA and USDA:
Taxation Changes The regulatory shift will likely bring changes to the tax landscape:
As banking opens up to the Cannabis industry, we'll see new regulatory frameworks emerge:
With Cannabis becoming more mainstream, expect an increased focus on consumer protection:
The Cannabis industry's environmental impact will likely face increased scrutiny:
This evolving regulatory landscape will have significant implications:
As accountants and financial advisors in the Cannabis space, we'll need to:
The post-rescheduling regulatory landscape for Cannabis will be complex and dynamic. While it may resolve some current issues, it will undoubtedly create new challenges. Our role as financial professionals will be crucial in helping Cannabis businesses not just comply with these new regulations, but thrive within them.
The rescheduling of Cannabis is set to dramatically alter the investment landscape. Let's dive into what this means for investors, company valuations, and the level of due diligence we can expect to see.
In the early days of the Cannabis industry, many investors got burned. They jumped in quickly, excited by the potential of this new market, without ensuring proper controls or good books were in place. The result? A lot of lost money and increased wariness among investors.
Today's Cannabis investors are much more cautious and demanding. They're looking for businesses that can demonstrate:
One of the key demands we're seeing from investors is the implementation of perpetual data rooms. These are digital repositories that contain all crucial business documents and are continuously updated. They include:
Having a well-maintained perpetual data room signals to investors that a business is organized, transparent, and ready for scrutiny. It's becoming a standard expectation, even for pre-revenue companies.
The potential elimination of 280E (the tax code that prohibits standard business deductions for Cannabis companies) could have a massive impact on valuations. Here's why:
For perspective, imagine a dispensary currently valued at $2 million. If 280E goes away, that same dispensary could potentially be worth $16 million. That's a game-changing increase for owners and investors.
With higher stakes and more institutional investors potentially entering the market, we can expect to see a much more rigorous due diligence process. This will likely include:
To attract investment and maximize valuations in this new landscape, Cannabis businesses need to:
As accountants and financial advisors in the Cannabis industry, our role becomes even more critical in this evolving landscape. We need to:
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The rescheduling of Cannabis represents a massive opportunity for the industry, potentially unleashing a flood of new investment. However, it also means Cannabis businesses will be held to higher standards than ever before. Those that are prepared – with clean books, strong compliance, and clear growth strategies – will be best positioned to attract investment and achieve favorable valuations in this new era.
It’s also important to note that descheduling is different from rescheduling. Descheduling means you take it completely off the schedule. Ideally, that’s what we’ll see happen with Cannabis in the future. It's what happened with hemp and CBD back in 2018. If it comes off the schedules, then it could still be regulated by the state. For example, alcohol is not on schedules one to five and is regulated by the state, and can't be sold to minors. Different states have different laws. You know, in my home state of Oklahoma, you know, you couldn't drink craft brew during my years of growing up.
Cannabis rescheduling will result in a lot of changes…
But how will those changes affect accountants, bookkeepers, CPAs, and their clients?
The rescheduling of Cannabis will bring significant changes to the industry, and these changes will undoubtedly impact the work of accountants, bookkeepers, and CPAs serving Cannabis clients. The good news is that the fundamental principles of GAAP accounting will remain the same. This means that the core accounting practices you've honed will still be applicable, even as the industry undergoes transformation.
The good news for us is - whether it's a farm, a processing plant, a manufacturer, a distributor, or a retailer - GAAP accounting is the same. It has nothing to do with the tax code and will remain complex and difficult to navigate. There will still be a need for cost accounting and the industry will still be multi-vertical. Just like every other complex niche in the US that is fully legal, like oil and gas or e-commerce or software, Cannabis will need niche experts to support their accounting. We’re likely to see lots of startups, cap raises, M&A, and exits as restrictions on the industry loosen. Things will heat up really quickly when rescheduling happens.
Preparing taxes for Cannabis businesses is set to become more complex with rescheduling. Currently, due to IRC Section 280E, Cannabis businesses can't deduct most ordinary business expenses on their federal tax returns. However, they can include costs directly related to producing or acquiring their product as Cost of Goods Sold (COGS).
Determining COGS for Cannabis businesses is already complicated. We must use GAAP cost accounting principles, specifically the rules under IRC Section 471, to calculate COGS accurately. This is crucial because COGS is considered a reduction of gross receipts rather than a deduction, allowing Cannabis businesses to recover some costs despite 280E restrictions.
If Cannabis is rescheduled and 280E no longer applies, tax returns will likely become even more intricate. Businesses will need to navigate standard corporate tax rules, including various deductions and credits that were previously unavailable to them. This shift will require a more comprehensive approach to tax planning and preparation, potentially increasing the complexity of Cannabis tax returns.
Rescheduling and the Accountant’s Impact on Cannabis Company Valuations
To illustrate the potential impact of rescheduling on Cannabis company valuations, let's look at some data from leading multi-state operators (MSOs) in the industry. This information, compiled by the Green Market Report, provides a snapshot of current valuations and helps us project how these might change if 280E restrictions are lifted.
(Source: Green Market Report)
The chart shows various financial metrics for major Cannabis companies, including Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA ratios. These ratios are crucial for understanding how the market values these companies relative to their earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.
Currently, we see EV/EBITDA ratios for 2023 estimates ranging widely, from as low as 4.57x for Ascend Wellness to as high as 53.10x for Glass House Brands. This wide range reflects the current uncertainty and variability in the Cannabis market.
However, if 280E restrictions are removed, we could see a significant boost to these companies' EBITDA figures. Industry analysts, including those at Cannabis Business Executive, suggest we could see valuation multiples increase by a factor of 5 to 10 times current levels.
To put this into perspective, let's consider a hypothetical example. If a Cannabis dispensary is currently valued at $2 million, the elimination of 280E could potentially increase its value to $16 million - an 8x increase. This dramatic rise would be driven by the sudden ability to deduct ordinary business expenses, significantly improving profitability and cash flow.
This potential for value creation is not just theoretical. It represents real opportunities for business owners, investors, and even employees in the Cannabis industry. It also underscores the critical importance of proper financial management and reporting in the sector. As accountants and financial advisors, our role in helping Cannabis businesses navigate this potential transition and maximize their valuations will be more crucial than ever.
The road ahead for Cannabis CFOs is undoubtedly challenging. Regardless of whether Cannabis is descheduled or rescheduled, the industry will remain highly complex. CFOs will need to navigate extensive compliance requirements, limitations in vendor services, and the integration of numerous Cannabis-specific software solutions. The industry's rapid growth and evolving regulatory landscape will further compound these challenges.
However, these challenges also represent an exciting opportunity for growth and innovation. As the industry matures, we can expect to see the development of more sophisticated accounting tools and industry-specific guidance. The increasing demand for skilled professionals in Cannabis accounting and finance underscores the potential for a rewarding and impactful career in this field.
Despite the complexities, the Cannabis industry presents a promising future. Even without federal rescheduling, the industry has experienced massive growth, with states like Ohio and Minnesota recently legalizing Cannabis. The potential for full legalization in Florida and continued growth in states like Michigan and Massachusetts further highlights the industry's upward trajectory. This growth translates into a wealth of opportunities for accountants, CFOs, and CPAs willing to embrace the challenges and complexities of this booming and exciting industry.
Our nationally recognized Cannabis accounting program has seen a surge in students eager to tap into these opportunities, even in states where Cannabis remains illegal. This demonstrates the growing recognition of the potential for success in Cannabis accounting and finance, regardless of location. The evolving Cannabis landscape is ripe with possibilities, and those prepared to navigate its complexities will be well-positioned to thrive.
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